Palestino vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PAL
5 - 1
CDP
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 3
PAL
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
PAL
2 - 3
HUA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
OHI
2 - 2
PAL
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
34%
26%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |