Palestino vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
7º
4º
10
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 54 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 52 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 50 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 38 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
|
15º
|
10 | 29 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 24 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
32.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
48% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 3
BOL
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
49%
22%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HUA
2 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 1
ULC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
UCH
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
COQ
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OHI
1 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |