Palestino vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
COQ
0 - 0
PAL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 2
PAL
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
CAU
1 - 2
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 5
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CAU
0 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
MUS
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |