Palermo FC vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAL
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CES
0 - 2
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 0
BRE
45%
32%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
TAR
2 - 1
SSS
55%
30%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 2
CES
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 0
SSS
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 1
COM
45%
32%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |