Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Palencia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 1
CFP
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
RCF
0 - 4
CFP
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CFP
2 - 2
ZAM
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CDG
0 - 0
CFP
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CFP
1 - 0
CUL
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 1
CFP
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
BET
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 4
RJA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RJA
3 - 1
JER
61%
25%
15%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |