4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Palautordera vs Canovelles B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palautordera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 2
PAL
23%
19%
58%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
PCF
91%
7%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
COR
2 - 7
PAL
20%
18%
62%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
EPG
1 - 4
PAL
50%
19%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 2
AAF
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Canovelles B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 2
PAL
23%
19%
58%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 2
SAE
68%
16%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SCI
4 - 3
CAN
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
TOR
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PCF
1 - 4
CAN
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |