Palafrugell vs Verges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palafrugell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 1
BRS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 3
PAL
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
AGU
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 2
PAL
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VER
2 - 2
EMP
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
VER
23%
21%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VER
2 - 3
BEL
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VER
2 - 1
MON
44%
21%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |