Pakhtakor vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
13º
6º
14
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
QIZ
0 - 3
PAK
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 3
NAS
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 0
BUX
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
PAK
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAK
1 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
XOR
4 - 0
SFA
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
XOR
3 - 0
MAS
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 0
XOR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 1
NAS
23%
28%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 0
XOR
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |