Pakhtakor vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
13º
6º
27
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 3.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
3.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 1
FKO
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 2
PAK
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
QOQ
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 1
PAK
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 1
OLM
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 1
TER
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BUX
3 - 1
OLM
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |