Pakhtakor vs Mash' al analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 1
FKO
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 2
PAK
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
QOQ
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 1
PAK
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 1
OLM
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
6 - 0
MAS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
NEF
0 - 1
MAS
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
MAS
1 - 3
NAS
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
QOQ
0 - 4
MAS
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |