Paju Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
YUF
3 - 8
PAJ
31%
23%
47%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAJ
0 - 1
HWA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
YAN
2 - 1
PAJ
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
PAJ
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAJ
1 - 0
ULS
84%
11%
4%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GYE
3 - 1
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ULS
1 - 2
GYE
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 0
GIM
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
DAE
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 2
GYE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |