Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
88%
9%
2%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAM
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAI
1 - 1
SIK
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
PAI
1 - 3
KAL
14%
22%
65%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCP
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
LOT
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIV
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |