Paide vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
5º
4º
47
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 67% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
35% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAI
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 0
TAM
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PAI
5 - 0
TAL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 9
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 0
FLO
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 1
KUR
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEV
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |