Paide vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
KUR
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOM
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
24%
58%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
KUR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
3 - 0
TAL
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
KUR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
KAL
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |