Paide vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
5º
4º
18
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
9% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
PAI
0 - 2
AIK
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 0
TRA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PAI
4 - 1
MAG
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
2 - 3
PAI
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
PAI
0 - 3
LEV
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
HJP
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
HJP
26 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 0
HJP
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TAL
3 - 1
HJP
23%
21%
56%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |