Paide vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
5º
4º
18
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
9% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 1
PAI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 1
KUR
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 0
PAI
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 1
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
FLO
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 3
HJP
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
4 - 1
HJP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
4 - 1
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |