Paide III vs Vändra JK Vaprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
TAZ
74%
14%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 1
TKM
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PAI
7%
12%
82%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HII
1 - 1
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vändra JK Vaprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
HLA
40%
20%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KEI
4 - 2
VAN
26%
20%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
SJL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
NOU
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |