Paide III vs Tallinna Zapoos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 1
TKM
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PAI
7%
12%
82%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HII
1 - 1
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TSA
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Zapoos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TAZ
3 - 2
HLA
37%
20%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TAZ
1 - 2
RUD
69%
15%
16%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAZ
4 - 3
NPM
77%
13%
9%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
TAZ
59%
18%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NOU
3 - 1
TAZ
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |