Paide III vs Saku Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KEI
4 - 2
PAI
27%
21%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TAU
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
SJL
87%
9%
5%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
PAI
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Saku Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 2
HLA
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NOU
6 - 0
SSP
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 3
VAN
47%
20%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAZ
1 - 2
SSP
58%
18%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
4 - 2
HII
46%
20%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |