Paide III vs Raplamaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.7%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 1
PAI
14%
18%
68%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HLA
0 - 2
PAI
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 7
NOU
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TAZ
2 - 2
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 3
SJL
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Raplamaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 4
HLA
17%
17%
66%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOU
8 - 2
RAP
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 4
VAN
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TAZ
2 - 2
RAP
73%
14%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
HII
33%
20%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |