Paide III vs Raplamaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
VJK
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
OTE
0 - 2
PAI
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
JKP
0 - 4
PAI
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
PAI
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
PAI
72%
15%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Raplamaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
5 - 1
TJK
24%
20%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LAH
4 - 1
RAP
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 4
PAR
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 3
VJK
9%
14%
76%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 0
OTE
58%
19%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |