Paide III vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 2
JKT
40%
21%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 4
PAI
5%
11%
84%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOU
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SJL
0 - 5
PAI
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
11 - 0
SPO
91%
7%
3%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
NOU
0 - 2
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
SJL
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
6 - 0
PIR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
FLO
4 - 3
PAR
72%
14%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
AJA
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |