Paide III vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.8%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PAI
0 - 3
KAL
14%
18%
69%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
KUR
0 - 1
PAI
8%
15%
76%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PAI
5 - 2
TKA
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
KOS
0 - 5
PAI
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PAI
5 - 3
VJK
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAP
3 - 3
PAR
32%
21%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
KUR
35%
21%
44%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TKA
3 - 0
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
KOS
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 2
VJK
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |