Paide III vs Keila JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
PAI
14%
18%
69%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PAI
8 - 0
KJL
87%
8%
5%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJL
5 - 0
PAI
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
RAP
92%
6%
2%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Keila JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
KEI
2 - 2
HLA
20%
18%
62%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOU
1 - 2
KEI
73%
15%
13%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
JKP
2 - 5
KEI
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAZ
2 - 0
KEI
75%
14%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 1
HII
35%
20%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |