Paide III vs Kadakas Kernu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PAI
6 - 1
KJP
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 0
TKA
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
PAI
4 - 0
GAN
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 1
TJK
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kadakas Kernu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
RUM
3 - 2
KER
74%
15%
12%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
KER
2 - 1
RAP
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
KER
7 - 2
FKR
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RUM
4 - 3
KER
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
KER
5 - 3
VFC
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |