Paide III vs JK Loo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
JOK
0 - 5
PAI
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
POS
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 0
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
7 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
3%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
TUL
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
JK Loo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
JKR
5 - 0
JKL
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
JKL
9 - 1
MET
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 1
JKL
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
JKL
0 - 1
TEV
18%
18%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
JKL
1 - 2
PAR
5%
8%
86%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |