Paide III vs Hiiumaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
PAI
53%
21%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 2
SSP
72%
15%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KEI
4 - 2
PAI
27%
21%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TAU
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HII
0 - 3
HLA
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HII
2 - 4
NOU
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HII
4 - 2
VAN
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TAZ
1 - 2
HII
63%
17%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HII
2 - 1
TAB
51%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |