Paide III vs Harju JK Laagri II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
13.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 0
VAN
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
TAZ
74%
14%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 1
TKM
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PAI
7%
12%
82%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HII
1 - 1
PAI
19%
20%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 4
HLA
21%
19%
60%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
HLA
40%
20%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TAZ
3 - 2
HLA
37%
20%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NOU
7 - 3
HLA
49%
22%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HLA
1 - 3
HII
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |