Paide III vs Otepää analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 0
JKP
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
4 - 1
TOR
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
TUL
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
TAB
1 - 1
PAI
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
KAL
1 - 1
PAI
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 1
OTE
55%
19%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LAH
4 - 1
OTE
51%
20%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
OTE
3 - 2
RAP
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OTE
1 - 2
VJK
18%
18%
64%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
RAP
5 - 1
OTE
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |