Paide III vs Tabasalu Ulasabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
SJL
87%
9%
5%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
PAI
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 5
TAB
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 5
HLA
71%
16%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tabasalu Ulasabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NOU
5 - 2
TAU
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 3
HLA
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
TAU
65%
17%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TAZ
3 - 2
TAU
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HII
1 - 3
TAU
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |