Paide Kumake vs Tarvastu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide Kumake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
PAK
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TUL
3 - 1
PAK
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LUU
0 - 3
PAK
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PAK
4 - 6
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VAN
3 - 1
PAK
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tarvastu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
4 - 0
GAN
62%
18%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KEI
8 - 2
TAR
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 5
EMM
33%
22%
46%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOM
3 - 1
TAR
25%
21%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 0
SOR
76%
14%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |