Paide II vs Tabasalu Charma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
20.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 4
TJK
63%
18%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
JFP
3 - 1
PAI
38%
22%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 3
TJK
65%
17%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 1
PAI
61%
18%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
FCT
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 0
TAB
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 2
MAA
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TJK
2 - 0
TAB
45%
21%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 2
NOM
22%
19%
59%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TAB
0 - 2
FAT
37%
21%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |