Paide II vs Luunja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
JOH
1 - 1
PAI
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
KUU
2 - 2
PAI
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
PAI
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAI
3 - 1
TJK
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
TAB
2 - 8
PAI
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Luunja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
KUU
2 - 2
LUU
17%
17%
67%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LUU
2 - 1
PIR
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LUU
4 - 1
TJK
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LUU
3 - 1
TAB
81%
12%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 0
LUU
18%
17%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |