Paide II vs Kaitseliit Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TJK
2 - 2
PAI
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PAI
0 - 3
AJA
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LUU
0 - 2
PAI
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
NOO
0 - 3
PAI
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAI
0 - 0
GAN
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kaitseliit Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
KAI
2 - 3
VOR
46%
21%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
KAI
8 - 3
JKL
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
KAI
0 - 1
WEL
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
TDU
2 - 2
KAI
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KAI
1 - 7
LEV
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |