Paide II vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
10º
7º
20
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 0
PAI
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 8
NOM
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 2
PAI
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
7 - 1
PAI
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VJK
0 - 1
PAI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 5
FCT
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
4 - 2
TAB
6%
12%
82%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JKJ
83%
10%
6%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
NOM
6%
12%
82%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 0
JKJ
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |