Paide II vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
10º
7º
20
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 2
VJK
28%
22%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
FLO
29%
22%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
LEV
25%
20%
55%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 4
PAI
17%
18%
65%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NOM
5 - 0
PAI
67%
17%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 2
JKJ
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
JKJ
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 4
PAI
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TPA
0 - 1
JKJ
29%
20%
51%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |