Paide II vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
JKJ
4 - 1
PAI
74%
16%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 3
PAI
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 2
NOM
5%
9%
86%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAI
32%
22%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
NOM
1 - 1
PAI
95%
4%
1%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
JKJ
4 - 1
PAI
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VOR
2 - 4
JKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
JKJ
5 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
JKJ
2 - 2
NOM
14%
17%
69%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
TJK
4 - 0
JKJ
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |