Sri Pahang vs Penang FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
6º
5º
24
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
PAH
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
KFA
0 - 1
PAH
20%
23%
58%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SEL
4 - 0
PAH
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PAH
1 - 0
MPK
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PDR
1 - 2
PAH
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PUL
2 - 1
KFA
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
PUL
2 - 0
MPK
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KFA
0 - 4
PUL
28%
22%
50%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PUL
4 - 2
PDR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
KED
1 - 0
PUL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |