Pagny Sur Moselle vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RCE
4 - 0
PAG
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 1
NAN
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MET
3 - 2
PAG
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 3
STR
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PAG
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
6 - 1
TRE
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
STR
0 - 2
TRO
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 1
BIE
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FCM
1 - 0
TRO
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 0
ERS
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |