Pagham vs Horsham YMCA analysis

Pagham Horsham YMCA
18 ELO 16
-9.1% Tilt 1.9%
13149º General ELO ranking 13806º
768º Country ELO ranking 797º
ELO win probability
45%
Pagham
23.8%
Draw
31.3%
Horsham YMCA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
Pagham
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.3%
Win probability
Horsham YMCA
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Pagham
Horsham YMCA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pagham
Pagham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2024
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
1 - 0
Pagham
PAG
80%
13%
7%
18 43 25 0
27 Apr. 2024
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 2
Pagham
PAG
25%
22%
53%
18 14 4 0
13 Apr. 2024
PAG
Pagham
0 - 2
Crowborough Athletic
CRO
11%
18%
71%
19 34 15 -1
06 Apr. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne United
2 - 1
Pagham
PAG
68%
19%
13%
19 30 11 0
01 Apr. 2024
PAG
Pagham
1 - 1
Midhurst & Easebourne
MEF
36%
22%
42%
19 21 2 0

Matches

Horsham YMCA
Horsham YMCA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
HOR
Horsham YMCA
1 - 3
Broadbridge Heath
BRO
15%
22%
64%
17 31 14 0
27 Apr. 2024
HOR
Horsham YMCA
3 - 1
Bexhill United
BEX
54%
22%
24%
16 14 2 +1
13 Apr. 2024
TOW
Eastbourne Town
4 - 0
Horsham YMCA
HOR
78%
15%
7%
17 33 16 -1
09 Apr. 2024
HOR
Horsham YMCA
1 - 0
Midhurst & Easebourne
MEF
30%
22%
49%
17 20 3 0
06 Apr. 2024
HOR
Horsham YMCA
1 - 0
Lingfield FC
LIN
35%
24%
41%
16 18 2 +1