Pagham vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 0
PAG
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
PAG
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 2
CRO
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
MEF
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
BRO
15%
22%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 1
BEX
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TOW
4 - 0
HOR
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
MEF
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |