Pagham vs Brockenhurst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
LAV
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
HOR
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
PAG
87%
8%
4%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAG
3 - 2
SHA
7%
13%
79%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
HYD
6 - 3
PAG
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brockenhurst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COW
2 - 0
BRO
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 1
BLA
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
0 - 2
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 2
BRO
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 0
BRO
83%
11%
7%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |