Pagham vs Bournemouth FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
PAG
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
PAG
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BEM
6 - 0
PAG
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
PAG
5 - 0
BRO
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bournemouth FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
POR
39%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 5
AFC
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
HOR
8 - 0
BOU
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 0
BEM
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | +6 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
BOU
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |