Pagham vs Blackfield & Langley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 3
STO
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BMR
1 - 0
PAG
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 2
MON
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
PAG
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 2
HAM
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Blackfield & Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LAV
7 - 0
BLA
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STO
4 - 0
BLA
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 4
HAM
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 1
BLA
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 2
HOR
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |