Pagham vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 4
EAS
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
CRA
11%
17%
73%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 0
BMR
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 2
PAG
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 2
PAG
7%
13%
81%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KNA
3 - 0
VAR
41%
22%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
VAR
61%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
VAR
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
BRO
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LOX
3 - 2
VAR
32%
22%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |