Pagham vs Uckfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
PAG
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
HAY
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOX
2 - 2
PAG
38%
21%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
PAG
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 2
HAS
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Uckfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
AUC
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 2
BEX
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUC
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CRA
4 - 2
AUC
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
LCO
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |