Paget CC vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 2
SOM
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
PHC
37%
21%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
PAG
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
YMS
0 - 3
PAG
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
PAG
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
HOR
45%
21%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEV
5 - 2
STG
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
STG
3 - 1
YMS
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 3
PHC
39%
21%
39%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 4
STG
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |