Paget CC vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
38.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
4º
33
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
3 - 0
STG
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 2
SOM
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
PHC
37%
21%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
PAG
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
YMS
0 - 3
PAG
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
PHC
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PHC
3 - 1
XRW
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
PHC
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
PHC
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 3
PHC
39%
21%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |