Paget CC vs Devonshire Cougars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
4º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 4
PAG
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 4
PHC
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
3 - 0
STG
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 2
SOM
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
PHC
37%
21%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 3
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
HOR
54%
20%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
YMS
4 - 3
DEV
28%
21%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEV
5 - 2
STG
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |