Paget CC vs Devonshire Cougars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAG
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 2
PAG
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 5
NOR
43%
21%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
4 - 0
XRW
55%
20%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 2
PAG
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEV
6 - 2
SOM
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
XRW
1 - 7
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 2
NOR
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PHC
1 - 2
DEV
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
3 - 0
HAM
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |