Pagazzanese vs Mario Zanconti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagazzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
PAG
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 0
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 0
PAG
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 2
COM
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
PAG
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mario Zanconti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
GAV
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LEM
1 - 2
MAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PON
1 - 0
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |